Starchy-Suit
0x7927605a5b2a65e022fb221068cb56fdd1b610fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.6K
Realised
$-97.21
Win rate
36%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- SAN DIEGO PADRES
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
2191 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-886.79
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
1937 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- MAX HOLLOWAY
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
1796 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- CARANO
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano
1163 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-196.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
661 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-317.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
657 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
645 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
620 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-253.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
489 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-23.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
473 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-135.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$104.88Jul 20, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$5.31Jul 17, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$10.64Jul 17, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$21.02Jul 17, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$9.95Jul 17, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$3.40Jul 17, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$16.73Jul 17, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.52Jul 17, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$20.85Jul 17, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$51.57Jul 17, 01:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.12Jul 17, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.74Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$5.72Jul 16, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$10.54Jul 16, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$68.09Jul 16, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$5.32Jul 16, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$52.76Jul 16, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$3.48Jul 16, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$61.20Jul 16, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$26.33Jul 16, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $35.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 03:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 03:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.