Twin-Photoreceptor
0x79284e3d95d91a635cd893ea6f54008f8b3c6c26
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-490.37
Realised
$-45.04
Win rate
21%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 5PM ET
215 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
205 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 5PM ET
169 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3AM ET
146 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
112 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.96
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
104 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 6PM ET
99 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-21.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5PM ET
93 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
89 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-11.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$8.12Jul 23, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$5.57Jul 23, 04:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.12Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.25Jul 22, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.01Jul 22, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.19Jul 22, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.01Jul 22, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.04Jul 22, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?$1.73Jul 22, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?$3.18Jul 22, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?$4.40Jul 22, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.61Jul 22, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.03Jul 22, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.28Jul 22, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.01Jul 22, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.33Jul 22, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.02Jul 22, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.02Jul 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?$0.96Jul 22, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.03Jul 22, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
21% win rate over 57 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
57 closed markets, 21% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 22:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 04:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.