Clumsy-Girdle
0x7930f1a45ae3f60fab64281d3dd94b19a6060e27
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-128.83
Realised
$-1.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?
1310 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-58.80
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
242 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
- YES
Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?
189 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-64.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?$0.04May 25, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?$67.69May 23, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Iran" or "Iranian" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$39.99May 21, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iran" or "Iranian" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$19.17May 19, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iran" or "Iranian" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$5.80May 19, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast say "MrBeast" during his next YouTube video?$51.51May 16, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "MrBeast" during his next YouTube video?$28.80May 16, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$4.24May 15, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "MrBeast" during his next YouTube video?$3.50May 15, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iran" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$14.70May 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Anthropic" or "Claude" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$8.82May 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Trump" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$4.90May 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iran" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$4.48May 13, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iran" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$5.35May 13, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anthropic" or "Claude" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$6.64May 13, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Trump" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$4.23May 13, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "War" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$30.32Mar 24, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "War" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$26.16Mar 23, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)$26.16Mar 11, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)$27.96Mar 11, 01:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.