Gullible-Squid
0x793975b31af44860deca0a22d40e4e5d7de21d79
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$46.43
Total PnL
$9.12
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
17 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.67
$5.67
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.09
$8.09
- NO
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
8 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.11
$5.11
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.33
$1.14
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 37.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.89
$-1.11
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$-3.97
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
16 shares @ 6.4¢·now 2.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
- YES
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.16
$-1.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?$0.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Everton FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?$0.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?$0.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$0.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?$0.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$0.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04?$0.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?$0.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$0.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$0.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?$0.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$0.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$0.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$10.64Mar 4, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ripple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$1.04Feb 9, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$3.13Feb 2, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?$2.09Jan 15, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.00Jan 13, 15:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 17:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.