Oval-Window
0x793c61ad8897050e828ad173f2fd44fa706de8da
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$2.37
Realised
$6.39
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.4K
$898.50
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$601.50
$-898.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$100.00
$0.10
- NO
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.97
$0.06
- NO
Will Beatriz Haddad Maia be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$1.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
4 shares @ 96.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.27Jul 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.