OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Probability

17¢

1h

+2.1pp

24h

+1.7pp

24h Vol

$1.8K

Liquidity

$29.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+14.9pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 17¢; +2.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5982h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5982.1h

    LOW
  • 17:55Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 5982h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+1.9pp over the last 24h, now 17¢.

Biggest hourly move: +10.7pp at 3d ago (to 14¢).

Show all 36 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · +4.7pp → 15¢
  • 16:00 · +3.6pp → 15¢
  • 09:00 · -3.6pp → 11¢
  • 08:00 · +5.3pp → 13¢
  • 06:00 · +8.4pp → 13¢
  • 05:00 · +8.2pp → 13¢
  • 03:00 · +8.0pp → 13¢
  • 02:00 · +6.8pp → 12¢
  • 00:00 · +7.6pp → 13¢
  • 22:00 · +6.8pp → 12¢
  • 21:00 · +7.5pp → 13¢
  • 20:00 · +7.3pp → 12¢
  • 18:00 · +10.4pp → 16¢
  • 1d ago · +7.0pp → 13¢
  • 1d ago · +6.2pp → 13¢
  • 1d ago · +3.9pp → 10¢
  • 1d ago · +4.2pp → 12¢
  • 1d ago · +3.3pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · +3.3pp → 13¢
  • 2d ago · +9.0pp → 13¢
  • 2d ago · +9.1pp → 13¢
  • 2d ago · +7.7pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · +9.0pp → 12¢
  • 2d ago · +8.3pp → 12¢
  • 2d ago · +9.4pp → 13¢
  • 2d ago · +10.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · +6.6pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · +4.7pp → 8¢
  • 3d ago · +6.5pp → 10¢
  • 3d ago · +6.9pp → 10¢
  • 3d ago · +6.9pp → 10¢
  • 3d ago · +9.1pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · +8.9pp → 12¢
  • 3d ago · +9.8pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · +10.7pp → 14¢
  • 3d ago · +4.5pp → 7¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventNext UK Prime Minister in 2026?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Official government informationOfficial government sourceextracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket