Self-Assured-Rat
0x794229444ca4c8097b61b37bbab92d89889ab1f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$0.60
Total PnL
$-99.89
Realised
$0.98
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 January 26-1?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $60 end of February?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 November 17-23?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$1.00Apr 17, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1.54Apr 17, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?$4.31Apr 15, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$1.04Apr 14, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$2.00Apr 14, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$1.00Apr 12, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.83Apr 8, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$3.21Apr 7, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$1.16Apr 6, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.16Apr 6, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?$1.54Apr 3, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.00Apr 3, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$0.23Apr 3, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.44Apr 3, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$0.16Apr 3, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$0.70Apr 3, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.00Feb 17, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.00Feb 17, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.00Feb 17, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.00Feb 17, 16:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 19:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".