Scary-Pine
0x798994eae92c0c29e1ec4b91264653dc82428707
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$85.13
Total PnL
$-0.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Solana reach $140 in July?
37 shares @ 99.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$36.76
$-0.24
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
29 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$29.34
$0.04
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
19 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$29.30Jul 2, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$19.00Jul 2, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $140 in July?$37.01Jul 2, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$25.05Jul 2, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?$26.21Jul 2, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$34.07Jul 2, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$34.00Jun 9, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?$26.00Jun 9, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$24.90Jun 9, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by May 31?$16.08Jun 9, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$15.68May 22, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$18.48May 22, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$34.71May 13, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$16.00May 11, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$16.01May 11, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$34.65Apr 4, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$34.00Apr 4, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of March?$15.04Apr 4, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$34.24Apr 4, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$19.36Mar 23, 08:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $39.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 05:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.