Imperturbable-Lounge
0x79975d5e2db7641cc5eea0acbaf48570044d5e4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-16.8K
Realised
$-709.89
Win rate
3%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?
2367 shares @ 82.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.4K
$406.59
- YES
Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich: Both Teams to Score
418 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$282.15
$-2.09
- YES
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score
2670 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
2580 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
2015 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-760.13
- BRAZIL
Spread: Brazil (-4.5)
1860 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-948.60
- YES
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score
1556 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-956.96
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
1493 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score
1065 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-490.00
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
975 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-497.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?$131.51Aug 22, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?$746.28Aug 22, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?$878.91Aug 22, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?$105.72Aug 22, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?$20.00Aug 22, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?$91.98Aug 22, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBorussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich: Both Teams to Score$288.79Aug 22, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?$295.94Aug 22, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.31Aug 3, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$21.98Aug 3, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.33Aug 3, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMShenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5$5.00Aug 2, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYShenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5$3.36Aug 2, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$25.9KJul 29, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$654.72Jul 29, 14:36 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$6.92Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$523.22Jul 28, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.22Jul 28, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$12.28Jul 28, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$8.01Jul 28, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 60 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
60 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $488.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 13:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 60 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.