Jumpy-Shingle
0x79b2eaa5be0966b3446970812f623b9db8914874
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
191
Open notional
$74.03
Total PnL
$-5.9K
Realised
$15.24
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 191- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
3346 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.48
$-13.91
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
478 shares @ 6.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$26.56
$-3.44
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.00
$-11.00
- YES
Trump out as President in 2025?
43988 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-444.27
- YES
Trump out as President by May 31?
30238 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-118.96
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?
22841 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
22535 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-204.30
- YES
Trump out as President by September 30?
10652 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.63
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
6000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
NBA Finals: Will any game go to overtime?
3564 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-292.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$10.60Jun 3, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$41.43Jun 3, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$153.85Jun 3, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$51.75Jun 3, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$102.45Jun 3, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$520.95Jun 1, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$100.00May 24, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$30.00May 23, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$28.36May 23, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$31.03May 23, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$30.00May 23, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$30.00May 23, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$50.00May 23, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$31.41May 22, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$20.99May 22, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$20.00May 21, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$10.30May 21, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$40.23May 20, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$18.48May 20, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$42.93May 20, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $44.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".