Miserable-Entertainment
0x79d2ae5659f821ac6da2f57c31765170606c3585
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$11.57
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-67.92
Win rate
0%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
9 shares @ 79.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.94
$0.60
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.63
$-0.03
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
554 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
539 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-251.26
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
446 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-231.21
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
383 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
300 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
233 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
215 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-127.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
212 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.71Aug 13, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.67Jul 15, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$11.26Jul 7, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$22.57Jul 7, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$19.61Jul 6, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.35Jul 6, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$10.34Jul 6, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$10.41Jul 6, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$20.66Jul 6, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5.31Jul 6, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$10.60Jul 6, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$10.56Jul 6, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$10.47Jul 6, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$10.31Jul 6, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? AND Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? AND Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?$5.44Jul 2, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$12.60Jun 30, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$7.52Jun 22, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.33Jun 22, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$6.40Jun 18, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$6.00Jun 17, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 47 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
47 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $33.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.