Idealistic-Supporter
0x79d6c6bd55e53c859b51613a4598f51011c1d2e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$7.73
Total PnL
$-24.84
Realised
$3.09
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
6 shares @ 95.8¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.13
$0.00
- YES
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
5 shares @ 1.1¢·now 25.6¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$1.28
$1.22
- YES
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?
60 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.30
$0.06
- YES
Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
35 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.02
$-1.21
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
43 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
- NO
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
20 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.17
- YES
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
11 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?
10 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$0.64Jun 22, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 22?$3.92Jun 21, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$6.14Jun 21, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?$0.24Jun 21, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 22?$1.00Jun 21, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?$5.32Jun 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?$0.01Jun 21, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 22?$4.76Jun 21, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 22?$2.15Jun 21, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 22?$2.65Jun 21, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?$4.77Jun 21, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 21?$3.13Jun 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?$0.03Jun 20, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?$0.21Jun 20, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 22?$4.30Jun 20, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?$4.51Jun 20, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 21?$4.89Jun 20, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 20?$5.80Jun 20, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 21?$7.65Jun 20, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?$4.93Jun 20, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 23:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.