Nutty-Detainment
0x79f4de2b9ecc9cba3aab7439181330de9ddb4afb
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.57
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$82.53
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
167 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
143 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.57
$-12.27
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
6510 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-578.69
- YES
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
5059 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-53.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
4250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1364 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
1078 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-45.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 0 - 1 KÍ?$7.33Jul 29, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 2 - 0 KÍ?$12.53Jul 29, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 0 - 0 KÍ?$9.41Jul 29, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 1 - 1 KÍ?$13.57Jul 29, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 1 - 0 KÍ?$14.60Jul 29, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: KF Dukagjini Klinë 1 - 0 FC Lugano?$6.28Jul 29, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: KF Dukagjini Klinë 0 - 2 FC Lugano?$11.49Jul 29, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: KF Dukagjini Klinë 1 - 2 FC Lugano?$10.45Jul 29, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: KF Dukagjini Klinë 1 - 1 FC Lugano?$14.61Jul 29, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: KF Dukagjini Klinë 0 - 1 FC Lugano?$14.61Jul 29, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1 - 0 CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?$100.00Jul 29, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: FK CSKA 1948 Sofia 0 - 0 FC Spartak Trnava?$100.00Jul 28, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 2 - 0 CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?$11.49Jul 28, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 0 - 1 CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?$9.41Jul 28, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1 - 1 CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?$15.64Jul 28, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1 - 0 CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?$17.71Jul 28, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: CA Banfield 2 - 1 CA Sarmiento?$10.45Jul 28, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: CA Banfield 1 - 1 CA Sarmiento?$15.64Jul 28, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: CA Banfield 0 - 0 CA Sarmiento?$13.57Jul 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: CA Banfield 1 - 0 CA Sarmiento?$16.67Jul 28, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.