Genuine-Doctrine
0x7a14b051d03b05f936916d1a380c3be507a079af
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.00
Total PnL
$-3.32
Realised
$-0.87
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will United Russia win the next Saint Petersburg Parliament elections?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will August 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$0.02
$-1.06
- YES
Will Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) beat quarterly earnings?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win the next Saint Petersburg Parliament elections?$1.00Jul 29, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia win the next Saint Petersburg Parliament elections?$0.92Jul 29, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win the next Saint Petersburg Parliament elections?$1.00Jul 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill August 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$1.00Jul 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?$104.18Jul 29, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$98.89Jul 29, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$49.78Jul 29, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$99.00Jul 27, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$50.01Jul 27, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?$104.02Jul 27, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?$103.56Jul 27, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?$104.02Jul 27, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$299.65Jul 15, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.09Jul 15, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$49.94Jul 15, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$1.10Jul 15, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.01Jul 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$49.79Jul 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.01Jul 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$50.01Jul 14, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $68.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 08:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.