Vibrant-Preface
0x7a1516be08564f7035df34c7de022cfa94c032dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$52.68
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-12.01
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
194 shares @ 30.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.53
$-6.81
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
3279 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-661.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on February 12?
897 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
419 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 9?
409 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-43.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 3?
401 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-52.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 3?
241 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on March 2?
215 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
153 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$49.50Mar 8, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$49.50Mar 8, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$115.50Mar 8, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$115.50Mar 8, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$102.12Mar 8, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$66.00Mar 8, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$15.14Mar 8, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$20.74Mar 8, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$11.61Mar 3, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$32.36Mar 3, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$40.68Mar 3, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 3?$2.57Mar 3, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 3?$3.08Mar 3, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 3?$1.04Mar 3, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 3?$0.93Mar 3, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$84.23Mar 3, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 3?$7.84Mar 3, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 3?$2.97Mar 3, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 3?$1.38Mar 3, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 3?$0.41Mar 3, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $23.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 22:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".