0x7a15b34e38c0867958ec1eca337cd54cdaa0df69
0x7a15b34e38c0867958ec1eca337cd54cdaa0df69
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
157
Open notional
$188.20
Total PnL
$-39.11
Realised
$1.59
Win rate
33%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 157- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
49 shares @ 37.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.95
$1.95
- NO
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
12 shares @ 33.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.88
$1.88
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.11
$0.11
- CHINA
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Saudi Arabia
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$4.95
$-4.66
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
15 shares @ 32.3¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.41
$-0.59
- NO
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
4 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$4.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?
4 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$4.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.58
$-1.42
- NO
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.50
$1.50
- NO
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.30
$-1.69
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.13Jun 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.18Jun 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.02Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.20Jun 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.09Jun 13, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland?$1.01Jun 13, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.92Jun 13, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$0.00Jun 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$0.00Jun 13, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?$1.03Jun 13, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.47Jun 13, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$0.00Jun 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$0.00Jun 13, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$0.00Jun 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.07Jun 13, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$0.00Jun 13, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$0.00Jun 13, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$0.00Jun 13, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.