Fragrant-Advent
0x7a35f8849c597cd12c3e2e3086b52b8c4f682744
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$55.8K
Total PnL
$-15.5K
Realised
$-15.3K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
54452 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$54.5K
$3.8K
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1632 shares @ 14.1¢·now 82.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$1.1K
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
78 shares @ 66.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$25.19
$-25.96
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
3472 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-3.1K
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
2253 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
520 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-322.40
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$50.00Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$14.48Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$6.1KJul 24, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$31.0KJul 24, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$495.09Jul 15, 13:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$78.12Jul 15, 00:46 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.64Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$24.8KJul 14, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$930.01Jul 14, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$26.97Jul 14, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$27.90Jul 14, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$112.17Jul 14, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.0KJul 14, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$27.90Jul 14, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$29.06Jul 14, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$381.53Jul 14, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$136.10Jul 14, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$435.94Jul 14, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$27.90Jul 14, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.31Jul 14, 13:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.