Tidy-Behavior
0x7a4cc9ffccd5b81dc1402ebf8e718b4daeddfc3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$2.30
Total PnL
$-18.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Trump send the national guard to Boston?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
9 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
7 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
3 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$1.25Jan 9, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$4.41Jan 9, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMTrump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?$1.25Nov 24, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18?$1.39Nov 24, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18?$1.43Nov 24, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?$1.00Nov 18, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18?$1.00Nov 18, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18?$1.00Nov 18, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.23Nov 11, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMRolex Paris Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Arthur Rinderknech$1.32Nov 11, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?$4.00Nov 11, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?$1.00Nov 10, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?$1.00Nov 10, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Ukraine / Russia" 5+ times during Syria President events on November 10?$1.00Nov 10, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?$1.00Nov 10, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.00Nov 10, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.00Oct 28, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Oct 27, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Paris Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Arthur Rinderknech$1.00Oct 27, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$3.57Oct 27, 13:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 14:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".