Orange-Certainty
0x7a5d96ef8ded84171cb8870e05e03b2c36bb0349
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.41
Total PnL
$-2.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 32.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$1.55Apr 8, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Farmer" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$2.70Apr 8, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$1.00Apr 5, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$1.00Apr 5, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.00Apr 5, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Apr 5, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$1.27Apr 5, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.29Apr 5, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.74Apr 5, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 1, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?$1.00Apr 1, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$1.14Apr 1, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the March meeting?$1.03Mar 31, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.39Mar 31, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Mar 29, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.00Mar 22, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Mar 22, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 22, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".