Thrifty-Shallot
0x7a6192ea6815d3177e978dd3f8c38be5f575af24
Quality score
89/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$115.7K
Total PnL
$-26.2K
Realised
$2.9K
Win rate
80%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
22000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.8K
$6.8K
- NO
Iran leadership change by April 30?
7296 shares @ 45.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.9K
$3.7K
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
6608 shares @ 42.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.6K
$2.8K
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
6078 shares @ 37.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.8K
$2.6K
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
5349 shares @ 11.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.6K
$4.0K
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5689 shares @ 50.1¢·now 79.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.5K
$1.7K
- NO
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
4548 shares @ 54.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.3K
$1.9K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
22000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.2K
$-6.8K
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
6028 shares @ 30.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.6K
$1.8K
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
3210 shares @ 51.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.2K
$1.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$1.5K9h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$30.009h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$30.009h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$30.009h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$14.709h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$30.009h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$30.009h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$47.409h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$30.009h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$27.609h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$30.009h ago
- TRADEBUYFluent FDV above $300M one day after launch?$14.3710h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$24.5720h ago
- YIELD$2.3023h ago
- YIELD$2.302d ago
- YIELD$2.793d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?$8.643d ago
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$13.0K3d ago
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$10.003d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$13.983d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $230.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9d ago
- Last active
- 9h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.