Muddy-Scarf
0x7a7086af51e335c85f9b1306687e2fb185aec608
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$182.75
Total PnL
$-262.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
314 shares @ 70.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$180.69
$-39.31
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.06
$-47.94
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?
1513 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
130 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
71 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$121.95May 30, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$13.06Apr 24, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$120.00Apr 21, 10:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$121.87Apr 16, 10:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 14, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$0.00Apr 13, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.00Apr 13, 12:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$8.00Apr 7, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5?$0.00Apr 7, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$50.00Apr 7, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.00Apr 7, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $43.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 22:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.