Fair-Laundry
0x7a726af3c24f219728d89fff811e1a2e1d32a4ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$22.14
Total PnL
$-24.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
12 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$11.54
$7.04
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
11 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.61
$3.61
- NO
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?
20 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?
16 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 20?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$7.69Jan 3, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: December$22.47Jan 3, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?$6.25Dec 29, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$6.25Dec 29, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$12.50Dec 29, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$2.50Dec 23, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYChiefs vs. Titans$1.26Dec 20, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$5.00Dec 20, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: December$20.00Dec 20, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$1.00Dec 20, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 20?$1.00Dec 20, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$1.00Dec 20, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$4.00Dec 20, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?$1.00Dec 20, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?$10.00Dec 20, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Siversk by December 22?$0.00Dec 20, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Siversk by December 22?$14.23Dec 19, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Dec 19, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMMicron Technology (MU) Up or Down After Earnings?$18.18Dec 19, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?$4.00Dec 18, 02:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $5.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 07:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.