Complex-Poll
0x7a7b11ed3593c631871050c7cd8b9ccc44d81f36
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-764.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
2685 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
998 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-410.69
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?
280 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
192 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?
107 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
101 shares @ 65.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-65.96
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
81 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
61 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-34.92
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?
58 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$186.09Apr 7, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$48.71Apr 7, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$35.45Mar 20, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$35.49Mar 20, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$15.88Mar 20, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$416.80Mar 18, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$172.87Mar 18, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$100.00Mar 18, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$66.82Mar 13, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$66.83Mar 13, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$41.20Mar 13, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$41.20Mar 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$19.87Mar 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$19.91Mar 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$92.90Mar 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$92.90Mar 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$71.01Mar 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$71.02Mar 13, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$44.70Mar 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$44.70Mar 13, 18:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $68.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 21:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".