Determined-Down
0x7a8062d4dace84189a1ac76a01b98d1c778a5d2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$138.98
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?
82 shares @ 61.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.88
$-4.12
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?
680 shares @ 7.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.42
$-12.58
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026?
125 shares @ 40.1¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.01
$-16.99
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?
267 shares @ 18.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.68
$-27.32
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
11111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- NO
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
6411 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
4359 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-196.48
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
3423 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-373.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET
1413 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
465 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?$51.85May 30, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?$50.78May 30, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026?$51.20May 30, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?$51.63May 30, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET$106.50May 30, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$108.82May 30, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$154.48May 30, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.76May 16, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.77May 16, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.76May 16, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$120.48May 16, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$120.48May 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$8.29May 10, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00May 10, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.34May 10, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.34May 10, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$26.68May 10, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$0.00May 10, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$25.63May 10, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$27.93May 10, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $91.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 18:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".