Phony-Muscat
0x7a8b21e20d4632e72340be6fe6fbcc70ea07dcec
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$15.33
Total PnL
$-11.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.25
$0.02
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.76
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$1.71
$0.00
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.67
$0.01
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.37
$0.00
- NO
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.36
$0.01
- NO
Will Spain join the Board of Peace?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.34
$0.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.33
$0.01
- NO
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.27
$0.01
- NO
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.25
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?$2.23May 31, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$1.71May 9, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.27Apr 30, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.37Apr 29, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$1.24Apr 29, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.76Apr 14, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain join the Board of Peace?$1.34Mar 30, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan strike Iran by March 31?$1.35Mar 30, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$1.32Mar 29, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$1.66Dec 30, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.46Dec 10, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$13.69Dec 10, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$14.15Dec 10, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.24Dec 9, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.91Dec 9, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.15Dec 9, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.24Dec 9, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.91Dec 9, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.15Dec 9, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.04Dec 9, 04:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 07:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.