Waterlogged-Discount
0x7a8b80f01ce61ea38bc34a25943b3decbba90ed3
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
0
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
No open positions.
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?$12.48Jul 23, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?$12.39Jun 22, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$11.56Jun 22, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$9.30Apr 9, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$9.23Mar 16, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$9.71Mar 9, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?$9.23Mar 5, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $160 in February?$9.71Mar 5, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?$9.21Feb 26, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 in February?$9.69Feb 25, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $160 in February?$18.42Feb 24, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 in February?$18.43Feb 15, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$18.91Feb 13, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$9.19Jan 23, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$9.68Jan 21, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$18.41Jan 20, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$18.01Nov 18, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $12.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 01:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.