Unknown-Ischemia
0x7a8fe7b6934c1b5cda555fbd5731a57e2683d9ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$826.05
Total PnL
$-98.75
Realised
$-36.20
Win rate
18%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
97 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$95.63
$-0.10
- YES
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
67 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.73
$1.67
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
73 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$50.07
$-0.33
- NO
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
96 shares @ 67.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.17
$-15.43
- YES
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
413 shares @ 0.2¢·now 9.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$39.68
$38.68
- NO
Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
30 shares @ 98.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$29.54
$-0.23
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
68 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$18.14
$-0.34
- NO
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
18 shares @ 96.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$17.59
$-0.02
- YES
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
18 shares @ 80.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$16.22
$1.64
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?
17 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$13.53
$-0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$5.05Jul 23, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$5.05Jul 23, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?$13.95Jul 22, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?$15.99Jul 22, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$30.27Jul 22, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?$40.98Jul 22, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$38.05Jul 22, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?$48.10Jul 22, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?$2.29Jul 22, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?$4.59Jul 22, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?$4.59Jul 22, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?$11.90Jul 22, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$26.54Jul 21, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$33.63Jul 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?$32.93Jul 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$2.89Jul 21, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$3.46Jul 21, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?$0.34Jul 21, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$19.81Jul 21, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$31.87Jul 21, 21:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $14.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 03:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 14:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.