Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Probability
14¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$31.72
Liquidity
$18.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $18.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5984.5h
- 15:31SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 13¢+0.5pp
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 11¢0.0pp
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 11¢+0.1pp
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 27¢+0.5pp
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 12¢0.0pp
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 7¢0.0pp
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 3¢0.0pp
Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 2¢+0.4pp
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Politics · Vol $1.9K
- 3¢-1.3pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $644.8K
- 0¢-0.2pp
Trump out as President by April 30?
Politics · Vol $601.4K
- 5¢+0.1pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $496.8K
- 0¢+0.2pp
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $370.7K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $342.4K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $329.3K
Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).