Woeful-Stupidity
0x7ad459263735e27865196923af2648d2ee0afdc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.93
Total PnL
$-18.30
Realised
$-6.40
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 22.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.65
$0.05
- YES
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
2 shares @ 25.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.28
$-0.28
- YES
Will Wells Fargo & Co (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?
300 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?
171 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.86
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?
28 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.47
- YES
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?
13 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?
11 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.64
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will André Ventura win the first round by 2–4%?
5 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
5 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jan 15, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,060,000 and $1,070,000 by February 1?$0.92Jan 14, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?$1.15Jan 14, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Golden Knights (-1.5)$1.40Jan 14, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.52Jan 14, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?$1.51Jan 14, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$1.62Jan 14, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSHL: Skellefteaa vs. Malmoe$2.20Jan 14, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$3.83Jan 14, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$3.15Jan 14, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?$4.17Jan 14, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$4.56Jan 14, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$4.58Jan 14, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.31Jan 14, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$7.84Jan 14, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)$0.00Jan 14, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6AM ET$0.00Jan 14, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 14, 6AM ET$0.00Jan 14, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMASB Classic: Hamad Medjedovic vs Jakub Mensik$0.00Jan 14, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on January 14?$0.00Jan 14, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 00:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".