Clever-Deal
0x7b01c0d007a72e8dc28eacbd584268eb4bb72e63
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$54.92
Total PnL
$5.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
45 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$45.05
$0.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$4.31
$3.32
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
52 shares @ 0.8¢·now 8.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.17
$3.77
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
52 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.55
$0.15
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
52 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.34
$-0.06
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
52 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.24
$-0.17
- YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
52 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.18
$-0.22
- YES
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
52 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.08
$-0.32
- YES
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOctra FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0.05Apr 21, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.01Mar 6, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.42Feb 13, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.42Feb 12, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.47Feb 12, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.42Feb 10, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.42Feb 10, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.37Feb 9, 12:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 9, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.37Feb 8, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.99Feb 8, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$45.00Feb 8, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.00Feb 8, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.00Feb 8, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.42Feb 8, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.37Feb 8, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.42Feb 8, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.47Feb 8, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.47Feb 8, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.47Feb 8, 12:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 14:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.