Ill-Fated-Cesspool
0x7b07c731a03d6b3e5ee58ac02e380962ec44affb
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$11.00
Total PnL
$-16.27
Realised
$-0.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.77
$1.96
- NO
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 95.8¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.47
$-0.03
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?
1 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4 shares @ 97.1¢·now 20.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-3.17
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
4 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.63
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?
3 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$3.81Mar 26, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?$1.76Mar 26, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?$2.06Mar 26, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?$1.60Feb 26, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?$1.50Feb 26, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?$2.00Feb 26, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.06Feb 26, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$1.95Feb 26, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$2.08Feb 26, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $400M one day after launch?$2.63Jan 28, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$2.11Jan 28, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$1.00Jan 8, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Jan 8, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 8, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.00Jan 8, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.00Jan 8, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$1.50Jan 7, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?$1.50Jan 7, 23:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 22:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 23:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.