Scared-Swim
0x7b0d4653d97ccc3d989d27916d98750e6cb65087
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$16.85
Total PnL
$-712.09
Realised
$25.29
Win rate
69%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- MENSIK
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Novak Djokovic
21 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$10.62
$0.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
378 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.48
$-1.48
- YES
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
300 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.75
$-0.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
5800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
4500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
3426 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.66
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
2700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
2200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1270 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by between 0% and 3%?$0.20Mar 2, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.01Mar 2, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?$0.95Feb 28, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?$0.96Feb 28, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$1.59Feb 28, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$1.00Feb 28, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shane Lowry finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?$0.96Feb 28, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?$0.97Feb 28, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shane Lowry finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?$0.92Feb 28, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shane Lowry finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?$0.96Feb 28, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?$0.95Feb 28, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?$0.95Feb 28, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$0.98Feb 28, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$0.96Feb 28, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.97Feb 28, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.95Feb 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$0.93Feb 28, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.96Feb 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.97Feb 28, 06:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 21:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.