Honored-Grassland
0x7b739498b83b15a4a51937bf2eac6f88e78f2644
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$65.42
Total PnL
$-73.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
51 shares @ 59.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$32.29
$2.29
- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
24 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.64
$-0.36
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.77
$-7.23
- YES
Will "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?
36 shares @ 82.3¢·now 2.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.73
$-29.27
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
70 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- NO
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?
18 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$30.61May 16, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?$30.21May 16, 20:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$11.33May 15, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMJosé Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$75.79May 15, 20:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $30.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 00:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".