Dishonest-Softening
0x7b900d4557c9e5400aa7b9832fefb66afccf1d17
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$872.07
Total PnL
$-344.96
Realised
$77.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
41311 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$599.01
$151.86
- NO
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
160 shares @ 42.1¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.09
$-4.15
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
1875 shares @ 10.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.88
$-147.04
- YES
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
401 shares @ 26.7¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.15
$-60.88
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
150 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.98
$-0.52
- YES
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027?
50 shares @ 41.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.50
$-4.00
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
520 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$12.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
900 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.85
$-0.45
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.65
$0.65
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $143.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 14:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.