Shallow-Sink
0x7b9a8739559ea6723ae901237d099640e631f9d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$21.64
Total PnL
$-165.72
Realised
$-2.07
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
21 shares @ 24.2¢·now 22.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.15
$-0.85
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
23 shares @ 13.8¢·now 4.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.09
$-2.08
- YES
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.85
$-1.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.60
$-1.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 12, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 12, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 12, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 12, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 12, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 12, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 12, 08:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $10.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 14:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.