Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $16.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.