Steep-Attraction
0x7ba737c4dd82fe9eef3d47bc3b20af86965824cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$324.02
Total PnL
$-106.02
Realised
$-119.48
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
114 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$113.64
$13.64
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?
102 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$101.52
$1.52
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 13-19?
102 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$101.52
$1.52
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
6 shares @ 31.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$6.30
$4.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 17?
8 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.74
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 17?
7 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$26.51Jul 17, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 13-19?$100.10Jul 15, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?$100.10Jul 15, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?$1.00Jul 15, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jul 15, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$2.07Jul 15, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?$50.03Jul 15, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$61.26Jul 15, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?$98.65Jul 15, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?$99.35Jul 5, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$50.34Jul 5, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$100.48Jul 5, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?$50.07Jul 5, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$60.12Jul 5, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$2.27Jul 5, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?$5.06Jul 5, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 22?$40.82Jul 5, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$44.78Jul 5, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$53.65Jul 5, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$101.83Jul 5, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $113.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 05:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 08:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.