Fatherly-Artificer
0x7bb625ce9e277e7ae5f76628d494eaf8554f734c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$6.41
Total PnL
$-210.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
16 shares @ 18.7¢·now 40.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.41
$3.48
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
1064 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Salary cap" during College Football Roundtable?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during College Football Roundtable?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 7?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$5.12Jul 10, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.17Jun 30, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06May 24, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 24, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 24, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 24, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 24, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$5.25May 24, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.33May 24, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.29May 24, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$3.59May 21, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$5.17May 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$5.16May 20, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.58May 20, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$5.29May 20, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$5.28May 20, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$11.90May 20, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5.20May 20, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$5.26May 20, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.31May 20, 15:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 19:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.