Thoughtful-Day
0x7bd536e982ba5418f0d1a7e2e8644a12b94841f2
Quality score
80/100
Open positions
13
Open notional
$201.64
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-13.87
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
12863 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$141.49
$-373.99
- YES
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
633 shares @ 12.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.15
$-19.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
5239 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
2258 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-162.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
1272 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-31.05
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
1046 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-390.23
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
1023 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
900 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-31.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
855 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-41.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
793 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.68
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.0374d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$9.1174d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$8.9174d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$8.5574d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$8.3474d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$4.2074d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$41.0475d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$31.0675d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$15.1875d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.5875d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$59.4275d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$2.6875d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$7.7075d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$2.1475d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$54.5575d ago
- TRADESELLWill AI be charged with a crime before 2027?$63.3175d ago
- TRADEBUYWill AI be charged with a crime before 2027?$158.7178d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$61.9278d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$328.3178d ago
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$547.5878d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $48.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 78d ago
- Last active
- 74d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.