Second-Inversion
0x7bda8f05297a9b63262e2e8269b1cf72875100e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-29.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
5321 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.98
- YES
Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
316 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
68 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMS&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$14.93Apr 3, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$22.50Apr 1, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$14.99Mar 25, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$0.00Mar 22, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?$2.07Mar 15, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.00Mar 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?$5.00Mar 10, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$20.00Mar 4, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 19?$8.70Feb 19, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 19?$5.00Feb 19, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 17?$4.00Feb 18, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 17?$2.00Feb 16, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?$3.00Jan 31, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$8.33Jan 31, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$5.00Jan 30, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$20.00Jan 30, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$5.00Jan 21, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$6.00Jan 21, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$6.80Jan 21, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $8.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 03:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.