Impeccable-Trunk
0x7bf696536bef0363264dcfeea0c0423e2cfd5219
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$618.15
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$129.07
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
507 shares @ 21.1¢·now 79.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$403.44
$296.31
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
160 shares @ 40.5¢·now 45.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$73.36
$8.64
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
718 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$68.21
$-39.27
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$48.50
$0.50
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
2000 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.00
$-53.99
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
400 shares @ 16.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.20
$-60.80
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
6000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.00
$-28.97
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?
50 shares @ 34.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.45
$-15.55
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16360 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-124.89
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$48.00Jul 29, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$143.51Jul 29, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$7.48Jul 28, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.52Jul 28, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.12Jul 28, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.56Jul 28, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.88Jul 28, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.56Jul 28, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.57Jul 28, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.05Jul 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.04Jul 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.00Jul 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.70Jul 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$17.00Jul 28, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$12.00Jul 28, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$12.40Jul 28, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$6.60Jul 28, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$27.00Jul 28, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$182.34Jul 28, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$12.00Jul 27, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $17.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.