Beneficial-Vertigo
0x7bf7bab7c709b1a66bd38b075d548e57dbd65307
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$32.10
Total PnL
$-999.19
Realised
$14.73
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1750 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.87
$-23.62
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
231 shares @ 13.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.23
$-26.77
- YES
Will Navid Shomali be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
10836 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Mustafa Hijri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
10818 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Reza Pirzadeh be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
8987 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-44.75
- YES
Will Ali Motahari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
7273 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.31
- YES
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
- YES
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.36
- YES
Will Maryam Rajavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
2495 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$54.53Jul 20, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$30.00Jul 20, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$85.06Jul 20, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$56.14Apr 18, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$56.77Apr 18, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$233.79Mar 4, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?$233.79Mar 4, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0.01Mar 4, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?$74.31Mar 4, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$74.30Mar 4, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?$348.81Mar 4, 01:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $46.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.