Decent-Dedication
0x7c07dc57ffbdd38d5060fd6f9b8da36919555214
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
1200000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
600000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
150000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-299.85
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?
106865 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
98248 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.2K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80000 on April 4?
81423 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-17.6K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
77372 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.0K
- NO
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
62438 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-999.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
51539 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-490.76
- YES
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?
36132 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.4K
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$53.90Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$31.67Jun 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$0.99Jun 28, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$27.78Jun 28, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$1.2KJun 28, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$4.4KJun 28, 23:50 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.10Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$33.95Jun 22, 00:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$14.32Jun 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$4.12Jun 22, 00:39 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.29Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$4.58Jun 22, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$161.47Jun 22, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$289.82Jun 21, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$784.00Jun 21, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$2.6KJun 21, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$12.11Jun 21, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$1.44Jun 21, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$12.11Jun 21, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$1.1KJun 21, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $423.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 12:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.