Near-Mind
0x7c0ce7b7aefe4020b2794aade509f35a09d5d811
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$8.54
Total PnL
$-43.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 85.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$8.54
$-0.46
- PENGUINS
Rangers vs. Penguins
30 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-13.50
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
20 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.80
- YES
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
20 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
9 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$9.04Jul 5, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Jul 5, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$43.00Jul 5, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$25.00Jun 17, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$24.98Jun 15, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$49.71May 17, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$9.94Apr 4, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$19.92Apr 4, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$22.45Feb 15, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Feb 15, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$105.00Feb 15, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$9.85Jan 23, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$103.74Dec 17, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 12, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 12, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 12, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Dec 12, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$20.00Dec 12, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Dec 12, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$20.00Dec 12, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $99.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 08:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.