Woeful-Wildebeest
0x7c0d6ffecf0ee95d0c1c3c351626d89bbf21835b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$32.44
Realised
$11.07
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1295 shares @ 93.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$39.70
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
1162 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.1K
$-1.89
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on August 22?
473 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$439.89
$-9.46
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?
490 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$409.15
$7.35
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
428 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$391.62
$-2.14
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
301 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$258.86
$0.00
- NO
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?
265 shares @ 94.3¢·now 93.4¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$247.51
$-2.38
- ANTHROPIC
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
232 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$214.60
$15.01
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
210 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$202.34
$2.83
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
129 shares @ 77.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$116.75
$17.42
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Aug 22, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$12.00Aug 22, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$4.76Aug 22, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$3.40Aug 22, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$259.00Aug 22, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 22?$15.13Aug 22, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees$4.92Aug 22, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1PM ET$5.00Aug 22, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees$14.59Aug 22, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on August 22?$450.92Aug 22, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 22?$13.37Aug 22, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on August 22?$8.72Aug 22, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$0.00Aug 22, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$473.00Aug 22, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$397.39Aug 22, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00Aug 22, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$204.00Aug 22, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1PM ET$3.82Aug 22, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$190.65Aug 22, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.00Aug 22, 17:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $109.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 20:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.