This-Estimate
0x7c1cb36f70a5b86c95b4dd73a681e79cbac7d313
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$4.43
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$146.05
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
46 shares @ 10.9¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.43
$-0.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4PM ET
821 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-203.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 11?
636 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 10?
500 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-229.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?
309 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 13?
256 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 29?
235 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
214 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 12?
209 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5PM ET
170 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 11, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.41Jun 11, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.04May 25, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.04May 25, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.07May 25, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$5.00May 25, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$25.38May 25, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$24.31May 20, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$25.72May 20, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$33.44May 19, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$25.44May 19, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$17.55May 14, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.17May 13, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.12May 13, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$31.29May 13, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$32.05May 13, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$25.38May 13, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 13?$203.08May 13, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 12?$103.66May 11, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 11?$104.83May 10, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $28.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 18:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.