Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 29?
Probability
23¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$4.17
Liquidity
$9.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 23¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 93h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $9.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 93.5h
- 18:30SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 93h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 23¢.
Biggest hourly move: +5.0pp at 11:00 (to 24¢).
Show all 9 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · +3.5pp → 23¢
- 15:00 · +5.0pp → 24¢
- 14:00 · +5.0pp → 24¢
- 12:00 · +4.0pp → 24¢
- 11:00 · +5.0pp → 24¢
- 09:00 · +4.0pp → 23¢
- 08:00 · +3.5pp → 23¢
- 06:00 · +4.0pp → 23¢
- 05:00 · +4.5pp → 23¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · highbinance.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.