Gregarious-Return
0x7c30ee60b7f53f80211ca65df99d48cce53b7673
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$58.1K
Total PnL
$-18.8K
Realised
$-509.58
Win rate
60%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
16774 shares @ 73.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$13.8K
$1.5K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
11600 shares @ 84.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.5K
$670.57
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
9000 shares @ 90.3¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.4K
$235.50
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
3575 shares @ 93.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$3.5K
$179.30
- YES
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?
3328 shares @ 83.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.3K
$521.99
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
4010 shares @ 75.8¢·now 79.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$138.25
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
6463 shares @ 41.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.0K
$354.03
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
4075 shares @ 49.1¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.2K
$220.38
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2400 shares @ 82.8¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$-163.69
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
1995 shares @ 84.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$138.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$108.69Jun 13, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$3.14Jun 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-2.5)$96.07Jun 13, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$32.95Jun 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$139.92Jun 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$198.74Jun 13, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 350-375mm of precipitation in June?$88.20Jun 13, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?$6.12Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$9.87Jun 13, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$75.92Jun 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$25.88Jun 13, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$75.92Jun 13, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?$126.50Jun 13, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$1.19Jun 13, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$1.19Jun 13, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$1.19Jun 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$2.70Jun 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$2.70Jun 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$2.70Jun 13, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$2.70Jun 13, 10:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$6.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 30, 06:30 UTC → May 30, 06:22 UTC
- BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$6.0K@100¢May 30, 06:22 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$6.0K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
$6.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $81.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.