Likely-Independent
0x7c3755b598e72e341cfda9e12b3b75648b615b82
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$38.30
Total PnL
$-169.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
212 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.32
$0.32
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
79 shares @ 6.3¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.05
$-1.95
- YES
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.60
$-1.40
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$2.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
73 shares @ 5.5¢·now 3.1¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$2.31
$-1.69
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.27
$0.27
- YES
Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.98
$-1.02
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.82
$-0.18
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLEvo Morales leaves Bolivia by May 31?$1.33May 28, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$1.12May 28, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$0.83May 28, 15:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$3.10May 22, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$2.07May 22, 12:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 01:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".