Nice-Maestro
0x7c391853fdcf4b4077b1dd55ba3c4708e682cf4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$11.32
Total PnL
$-562.57
Realised
$42.55
Win rate
91%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?
229 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.52
$0.43
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?
174 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.91
$0.11
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?
225 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.58
$-1.47
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?
344 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.55
$-3.85
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?
148 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.48
$0.89
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?
76 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.92
$0.32
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?
277 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.55
$-2.53
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?
76 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.34
$-0.56
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.20
$0.15
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?
325 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.16
$-0.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.02Jul 26, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$1.26Jul 26, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 25?$0.01Jul 25, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 24?$0.01Jul 24, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 24?$0.00Jul 24, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 24?$0.01Jul 24, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 24?$0.08Jul 24, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 24?$0.05Jul 24, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 24?$0.05Jul 24, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 24?$0.05Jul 24, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 24?$0.05Jul 24, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 24?$1.34Jul 24, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 24?$1.08Jul 24, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 24?$1.34Jul 24, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 24?$1.14Jul 24, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 24?$0.01Jul 24, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?$5.20Jul 24, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 23?$0.01Jul 23, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 23?$0.01Jul 23, 20:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
91% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 19:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.